赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Benfica v Celtic

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Benfica (主队)

预测 75.63%1.32公平赔率
EV -4.71%
优势 -3.74%
Kelly -18.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.26

博彩公司预测分布
73.46%75.51%75.69%77.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.231.231.2686.21%81.60%81.63%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

Celtic (客队)

预测 9.00%11.12公平赔率
EV +8.85%
优势 +0.731%
Kelly +0.797%
增长率 +0.070%

假设最高赔率为 12.10

博彩公司预测分布
7.79%9.08%8.98%10.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.0010.3310.0012.1012.50%9.68%10.00%8.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.38%6.50公平赔率
EV +0.410%
优势 +0.063%
Kelly +0.074%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.53

博彩公司预测分布
14.67%15.41%15.33%16.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.986.006.5318.18%16.71%16.67%15.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Benfica (主队)：75.63%；Celtic (客队)：9.00%；平局：15.38%。 对于“Celtic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.12。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为12.10，由此产生+8.85%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.10%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.11%G +0.000%12.10I 8.26%NM 8.03%EV +8.85%E +0.731%K +0.797%G +0.070%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.88%EV +0.410%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-22 14:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.19%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +7.95%E +0.662%K +0.722%G +0.057%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.84%EV -0.821%E -0.127%K -0.151%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.73%E -6.34%K -35.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.95%E +0.662%K +0.722%G +0.057%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 12:19
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.05%E -0.095%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -1.05%E -0.095%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 14:50
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.25%E -7.71%K -46.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.05%E -0.095%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:04
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.25%E -7.71%K -46.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.05%E -0.095%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:04
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.25%E -7.71%K -46.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -1.05%E -0.095%K -0.105%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 13:18
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.31%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.91I 9.17%NM 8.67%EV -1.86%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.02%EV -3.13%E -0.496%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.49%E -7.02%K -40.43%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -5.55%E -0.528%K -0.584%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 12:19
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 12:49
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 12:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 12:05
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.73%E -6.34%K -35.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.05%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.74%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 14:50
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.89%EV -6.98%E -5.67%K -30.34%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.50%EV -12.74%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -9.28%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 14:46
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.64%EV -7.73%E -6.34%K -35.15%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.39%EV -12.74%E -1.31%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -12.35%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.25%E -7.71%K -46.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -14.54%E -1.53%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.43%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.02%EV -12.27%E -10.58%K -76.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -14.54%E -1.53%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.82%EV -15.43%E -2.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-22 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -7.73%E -6.34%K -35.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -19.04%E -2.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -3.90%E -0.623%K -0.742%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.73%E -6.34%K -35.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -19.04%E -2.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -13.89%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-22 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.46%EV -10.00%E -8.41%K -52.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -28.04%E -3.50%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -13.89%E -2.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-22 12:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35