Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bayer Leverkusen (Casa)

Previsione 66.48%1.50quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -2.01%
Kelly -6.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.18%66.41%66.52%68.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.47%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Marseille (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.53%6.88quota equa
EV +3.16%
Vantaggio +0.445%
Kelly +0.518%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.37%14.57%14.46%16.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.356.457.1018.52%15.75%15.50%14.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.99%5.27quota equa
EV -0.303%
Vantaggio -0.058%
Kelly -0.071%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.99%19.01%19.02%20.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.824.905.2522.73%20.74%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Bayer Leverkusen (Casa): 66.48%; Marseille (Trasferta): 14.53%; Pareggio: 18.99%. Per Marseille (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.88. 5 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 7.10, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.16%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.10%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.51%EV +3.16%E +0.445%K +0.518%G +0.016%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.95%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.59%E -5.46%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.15%E -0.618%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 19:50
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.15%E -0.618%K -0.769%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 19:50
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.41%EV -2.94%E -2.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.28%EV -1.35%E -0.198%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.31%EV -4.67%E -0.930%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -1.93%E -0.285%K -0.335%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.27%EV -2.65%E -0.396%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.303%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 19:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.66%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.67%EV -6.29%E -0.975%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.67%EV -3.72%E -0.734%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.66%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.67%EV -6.29%E -0.975%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.67%EV -3.72%E -0.734%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 02:14
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:50
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.32%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.88%EV -15.73%E -2.71%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.95%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -16.46%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 19:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.44%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -17.18%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-23 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -21.54%E -3.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-23 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 66.65%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%4.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 63.32%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85%17.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52%86.3%2026-10-23 22:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52%86.3%2026-10-23 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52%86.3%2026-10-23 22:16