Idioma:Español
Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille
Resultado del partido
Bayer Leverkusen (Local)
Predicción 66.48%1.50momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -6.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.18%66.41%66.52%68.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.47%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marseille (Visitante)
Predicción 14.53%6.88momio equitativo
EV +3.16%
Ventaja +0.445%
Kelly +0.518%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.37%14.57%14.46%16.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.406.356.457.1018.52%15.75%15.50%14.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.99%5.27momio equitativo
EV -0.303%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.99%19.01%19.02%20.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.824.905.2522.73%20.74%20.41%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 66.48%; Marseille (Visitante): 14.53%; Empate: 18.99%. Para Marseille (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.88. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (27 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.10%EV -4.93%E -3.45%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.51%EV +3.16%E +0.445%K +0.518%G +0.016% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.95%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.59%E -5.46%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.15%E -0.618%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.71%E +0.244%K +0.284%G +0.005% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.15%E -0.618%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.41%EV -2.94%E -2.01%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.28%EV -1.35%E -0.198%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.31%EV -4.67%E -0.930%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -1.93%E -0.285%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -4.27%E -2.96%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.27%EV -2.65%E -0.396%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -6.00%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.303%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.56%E -0.855%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.66%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.67%EV -6.29%E -0.975%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.67%EV -3.72%E -0.734%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.66%EV -5.60%E -3.94%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.67%EV -6.29%E -0.975%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.67%EV -3.72%E -0.734%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -5.05%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 02:14 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.59%E -7.05%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.82%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.32%EV -6.26%E -4.44%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.88%EV -15.73%E -2.71%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -6.95%E -1.42%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -8.26%E -5.98%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -16.46%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.48%EV -12.65%E -2.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.44%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.49%EV -17.18%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%EV -16.44%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-23 19:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.18%EV -8.92%E -6.51%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -21.54%E -3.99%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -14.55%E -3.23%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.65% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.29% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06% | 4.9% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.32% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85% | 17.0% | 2026-10-23 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52% | 86.3% | 2026-10-23 22:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52% | 86.3% | 2026-10-23 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 43.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 45.48% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 10.52% | 86.3% | 2026-10-23 22:16 |