Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Roma v Bologna

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Roma (Local)

Prediction 55.33%1.81fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.21%55.24%55.43%56.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.701.7660.98%58.61%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bologna (Visit)

Prediction 18.50%5.40fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.322%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.50%18.61%18.46%19.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.095.105.5021.05%19.66%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.498%
Kelly -0.679%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.16%26.11%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.603.603.7528.99%27.77%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AS Roma (Local): 55.33%; Bologna (Visit): 18.50%; Draw: 26.17%. For Bologna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:54
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.55%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.76%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.05%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 13:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.05%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 13:14
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:53
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.19%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:35
Suprabets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.51%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 10:14
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.73%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 05:15
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -2.65%E -0.713%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:54
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.49%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.62%E -1.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.77%EV -4.34%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.09%EV -2.65%E -0.713%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 10:14
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:05
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:34
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:44
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 07:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.26%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:44
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:44
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:44
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 19:50
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:49
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:34
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-03-19 19:40