La escuela de los momios

AS Roma v Bologna

Inicio: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AS Roma (Local)

Predicción 55.33%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.21%55.24%55.43%56.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.711.701.7660.98%58.61%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bologna (Visitante)

Predicción 18.50%5.40momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.322%
Kelly +0.393%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.50%18.61%18.46%19.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.095.105.5021.05%19.66%19.61%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.498%
Kelly -0.679%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.16%26.11%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.603.603.7528.99%27.77%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV +1.77%E +0.322%K +0.393%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:54
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 55.55%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.69%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.76%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:54
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -0.081%E -0.015%K -0.018%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.05%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 13:14
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.05%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 13:14
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -1.01%E -0.188%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:53
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.19%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:35
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.51%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.91%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.21%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:54
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -1.93%E -0.364%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 10:14
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.73%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 05:15
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -2.86%E -0.544%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 05:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.48%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -2.65%E -0.713%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:54
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:09
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.49%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.78%E -0.727%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 10:14
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.62%E -1.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.77%EV -4.34%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.09%EV -2.65%E -0.713%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 10:14
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:05
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:53
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -3.18%E -1.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -1.87%E -0.498%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:44
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 18:04
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 15:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 15:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:35
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 07:28
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.42%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -7.48%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -9.33%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.10%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.26%E -2.12%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:44
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.24%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:44
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:44
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -11.18%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 19:50
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:49
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.18%E -0.859%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:35
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:34
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.79%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -12.11%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.53%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.87%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-03-19 19:40