The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Universitatea Craiova v Getafe

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Prediction 35.28%2.83fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.438%
Kelly -0.681%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.44%35.27%35.26%36.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.11%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 33.32%3.00fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.881%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%33.34%33.35%35.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.07%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.41%3.18fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%31.39%31.39%32.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.1036.36%33.59%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universitatea Craiova (Local): 35.28%; Getafe (Visit): 33.32%; Draw: 31.41%. For Universitatea Craiova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.23%E -0.438%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.87%EV -2.64%E -0.955%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.62%EV -1.72%E -0.583%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.09%EV -3.70%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.61%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.30%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.52%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.52%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 16:35
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -6.09%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:29
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.71%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 16:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:35
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 16:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 16:35
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:38
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:38
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 16:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -11.71%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.12%EV -9.34%E -3.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -9.86%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.07%EV -11.10%E -4.41%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%EV -6.40%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.55%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -13.57%E -5.54%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.38%E -5.15%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40