Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universitatea Craiova v Getafe

Início: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Previsão 35.28%2.83odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.438%
Kelly -0.681%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.44%35.27%35.26%36.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.11%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Getafe (Visitante)

Previsão 33.32%3.00odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.583%
Kelly -0.881%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.34%33.34%33.35%35.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.752.9538.46%36.07%36.36%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.41%3.18odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -0.850%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.94%31.39%31.39%32.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.983.003.1036.36%33.59%33.33%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Universitatea Craiova (Local): 35.28%; Getafe (Visitante): 33.32%; Empate: 31.41%. Para Universitatea Craiova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -1.23%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -1.23%E -0.438%K -0.681%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-15 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.87%EV -2.64%E -0.955%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.62%EV -1.72%E -0.583%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.09%EV -3.70%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.61%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.30%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.52%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.32%EV -4.52%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 16:35
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.75%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -6.09%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 12:25
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.05%E -1.77%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -4.21%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:30
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:29
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.71%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 16:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -6.52%E -2.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -8.29%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:35
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 16:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 16:35
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -2.64%E -0.850%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:38
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:38
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.78%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 16:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.28%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -11.71%E -4.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.12%EV -9.34%E -3.63%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -9.86%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.04%E -3.94%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.05%E -3.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.07%EV -11.10%E -4.41%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.42%EV -9.38%E -3.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.51%EV -6.40%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 16:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -6.72%E -2.40%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.55%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.81%E -4.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.38%E -3.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -13.57%E -5.54%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.26%EV -13.38%E -5.15%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.45%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-10-15 16:40