L’École des cotes

Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sparta Prague (Local)

Prévision 39.08%2.56cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.25%39.00%39.04%41.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.4744.44%41.93%41.67%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.78%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.32%34.80%34.82%35.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.692.702.8038.46%37.12%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.748%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.20%26.14%27.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.7230.30%28.05%27.78%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.89%EV -3.65%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 38.88%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:54
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 38.88%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:54
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.62%EV -3.86%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 19:54
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:03
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 18:49
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 18:55
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -4.64%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:54
ReBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.51%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%EV -3.30%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Suprabets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.42%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.75%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -4.87%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:46
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 19:44
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 18:54
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 18:54
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:54
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:55
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 19:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:35
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:54
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:49
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:36
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:40
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.03%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:44
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 19:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 18:54
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:50
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 19:44
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-19 19:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-19 18:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.06%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.7%2026-03-19 19:55