La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sparta Prague (Local)
Predicción 39.08%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.25%39.00%39.04%41.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.4744.44%41.93%41.67%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)
Predicción 34.78%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.931%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.32%34.80%34.82%35.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.692.702.8038.46%37.12%37.04%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.748%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.20%26.14%27.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.573.603.7230.30%28.05%27.78%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.89%EV -3.65%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.98%EV -2.78%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.88%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.88%EV -3.47%E -1.40%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.17%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.62%EV -3.86%E -1.57%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.74%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.03%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.77%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 18:49 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -4.64%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| ReBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.51%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%EV -3.30%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.23%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Suprabets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.42%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.75%EV -5.04%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -4.87%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 19:46 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.34%E -1.58%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -5.39%E -1.98%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.98%E -2.93%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.92%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:36 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.03%EV -7.37%E -3.11%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.87%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -8.94%E -3.84%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.08%E -2.25%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.82%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.84%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -9.56%E -3.68%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-19 18:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -12.06%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -2.61%E -0.931%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.31%E -0.893%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.93% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.74% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |