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Sigma Olomouc v FSV Mainz 05
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sigma Olomouc (Local)
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV -0.359%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.52%19.26%19.21%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.834.805.2022.22%20.69%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)
Prediction 54.10%1.85fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%53.97%54.08%54.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.731.7959.17%57.62%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.73%3.74fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.401%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.76%26.71%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.68%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sigma Olomouc (Local): 19.16%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 54.10%; Draw: 26.73%. For Sigma Olomouc (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.20, with an expected value of -0.359%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -0.359%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.72%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -0.359%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.72%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.74%EV -1.32%E -0.256%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -2.27%E -0.446%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.90%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -2.42%E -0.663%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -6.11%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -1.08%E -0.293%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.00%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.42%E -0.663%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:41 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.51%EV -11.47%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.94%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.55%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.55%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.84%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |