L’École des cotes

Sigma Olomouc v FSV Mainz 05

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sigma Olomouc (Local)

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV -0.359%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.52%19.26%19.21%20.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.834.805.2022.22%20.69%20.83%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FSV Mainz 05 (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.10%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.38%53.97%54.08%54.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.691.741.731.7959.17%57.62%57.80%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.401%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%26.76%26.71%27.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.493.503.7031.25%28.68%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -0.359%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.72%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:35
BetOnline.ag5.20I 19.23%NM 18.52%EV -0.359%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.72%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:30
Pinnacle5.15I 19.42%NM 18.74%EV -1.32%E -0.256%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.04%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Suprabets5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -2.27%E -0.446%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.90%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:50
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.25%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -2.42%E -0.663%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 19:15
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -3.69%E -2.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 19:45
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:15
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:15
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.19%E -0.838%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:15
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:50
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -5.15%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:50
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -6.11%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 19:55
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Bovada4.85I 20.62%NM 19.00%EV -7.07%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 19:54
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:15
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:15
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:15
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -1.08%E -0.293%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:40
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:40
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:50
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:50
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:50
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 19:15
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.00%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -2.42%E -0.663%K -0.913%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 19:45
Betclic (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.95%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:41
Parions Sport (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 19:35
PMU (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.94%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:40
1xBet4.62I 21.65%NM 20.51%EV -11.47%E -2.48%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.94%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.55%EV -4.56%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:55
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 19:40
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 19:40
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.55%EV -7.48%E -4.38%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:50
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.84%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 19:45
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.43%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:15
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -14.45%E -4.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-12 19:50