赔率学院

Shakhtar Donetsk v Lech Poznań

开赛时间： 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Shakhtar Donetsk (主队)

预测 43.12%2.32公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -2.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.24

博彩公司预测分布
42.01%43.03%43.18%45.56%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.052.162.152.2448.78%46.23%46.51%44.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

Lech Poznań (客队)

预测 30.43%3.29公平赔率
EV -0.482%
优势 -0.147%
Kelly -0.212%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.27

博彩公司预测分布
29.06%30.45%30.42%32.62%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.853.063.093.2735.09%32.66%32.36%30.58%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 26.45%3.78公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.431%
Kelly -0.589%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.72

博彩公司预测分布
25.13%26.53%26.40%27.51%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.303.513.503.7230.30%28.52%28.57%26.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.23%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:19
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 19:19
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:25
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 19:44
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 19:34
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:34
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:30
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:34
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 19:45
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:36
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:53
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 19:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 19:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 19:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 19:50
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.61%EV -8.16%E -3.83%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -0.482%E -0.147%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:44
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-19 19:55
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-19 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.67%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-03-19 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-03-19 19:50