L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Shakhtar Donetsk v Lech Poznań
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shakhtar Donetsk (Local)
Prévision 43.12%2.32cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.01%43.03%43.18%45.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.2448.78%46.23%46.51%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lech Poznań (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.43%3.29cote équitable
EV -0.482%
Avantage -0.147%
Kelly -0.212%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.06%30.45%30.42%32.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.063.093.2735.09%32.66%32.36%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.45%3.78cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -0.589%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.13%26.53%26.40%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.7230.30%28.52%28.57%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.23%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:36 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.61%EV -8.16%E -3.83%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -0.482%E -0.147%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |