La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Shakhtar Donetsk v Lech Poznań
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Shakhtar Donetsk (Casa)
Previsione 43.12%2.32quota equa
EV -3.42%
Vantaggio -1.53%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.01%43.03%43.18%45.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.162.152.2448.78%46.23%46.51%44.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lech Poznań (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.43%3.29quota equa
EV -0.482%
Vantaggio -0.147%
Kelly -0.212%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.06%30.45%30.42%32.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.063.093.2735.09%32.66%32.36%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.45%3.78quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.431%
Kelly -0.589%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.13%26.53%26.40%27.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.513.503.7230.30%28.52%28.57%26.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.23%EV -3.42%E -1.53%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.12%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.32%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.24%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.45%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -9.54%E -2.79%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 19:36 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-19 19:53 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.61%EV -8.16%E -3.83%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.06%EV -0.482%E -0.147%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.32%EV -4.51%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.66%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-19 19:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -8.60%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.70%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-19 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.67%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -2.61%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.13%E -0.576%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |