Language:English
Shakhtar Donetsk v Crystal Palace
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shakhtar Donetsk (Local)
Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV +0.193%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.067%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%25.68%25.73%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.623.653.9033.33%27.60%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crystal Palace (Visit)
Prediction 45.97%2.18fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.925%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%45.96%45.94%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.002.2252.63%49.40%50.00%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.43%28.35%28.33%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.303.4033.33%30.63%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shakhtar Donetsk (Local): 25.69%; Crystal Palace (Visit): 45.97%; Draw: 28.34%. For Crystal Palace (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -22.93%E -7.64%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.94%EV +2.05%E +0.925%K +1.68%G +0.035% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.76%EV -10.45%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -5.63%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -5.63%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV +0.193%E +0.050%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.54%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.64%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 10:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -0.320%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.52%EV -4.84%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%EV -4.78%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.28%EV -4.84%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.18%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 09:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -1.09%E -0.283%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -7.33%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 07:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 08:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 19:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -7.60%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-20 04:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.87%EV -5.20%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.89%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.23%EV -11.02%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 07:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.98%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.98%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 03:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -9.90%E -5.05%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -9.90%E -5.05%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-24 00:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.51%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.98%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 08:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49% | 3.2% | 2026-04-23 15:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |