L’École des cotes

Shakhtar Donetsk v Crystal Palace

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-30 19:00 UTC

Score final : Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 Crystal Palace

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shakhtar Donetsk (Local)

Prévision 25.69%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.193%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.71%25.68%25.73%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.623.653.9033.33%27.60%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Crystal Palace (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.97%2.18cote équitable
EV +2.05%
Avantage +0.925%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.94%45.96%45.94%46.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.022.002.2252.63%49.40%50.00%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.34%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.43%28.35%28.33%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.303.4033.33%30.63%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ReBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -22.93%E -7.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.94%EV +2.05%E +0.925%K +1.68%G +0.035%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.76%EV -10.45%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 23:19
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -5.63%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:30
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -5.63%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:39
1xBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82%EV +0.193%E +0.050%K +0.067%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.54%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.64%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 18:04
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.31%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 00:09
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:04
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:04
Marathon Bet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -0.320%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.52%EV -4.84%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%EV -4.78%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:59
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.28%EV -4.84%E -2.34%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.18%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 09:12
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -1.09%E -0.283%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -7.33%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 07:50
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 08:04
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 15:25
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:30
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:01
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 07:49
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 20:20
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.06%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:09
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -7.60%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:49
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 03:50
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 03:50
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 15:10
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.48%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 04:00
Suprabets3.69I 27.10%NM 24.87%EV -5.20%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.89%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.23%EV -11.02%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:08
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 07:49
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 07:53
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.15%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 09:39
Betclic (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.98%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -4.21%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:05
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -8.98%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 03:50
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -9.90%E -5.05%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:10
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.57%EV -9.90%E -5.05%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-24 00:10
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.51%E -5.08%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -10.36%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -14.98%E -4.99%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 15:24
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.60%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -10.73%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 07:49
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -12.66%E -6.66%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -9.32%E -2.91%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 08:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%3.2%2026-04-23 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%3.2%2026-04-23 15:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.79%3.7%2026-04-23 21:49