L’École des cotes

Rayo Vallecano v Samsunspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Local)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.36%60.24%62.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.51%64.52%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.34%6.52cote équitable
EV +13.65%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.291%

avec la cote maximale 7.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.80%15.29%15.47%18.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.126.007.4120.00%16.33%16.67%13.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.31%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.583%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.189%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%24.35%24.28%25.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.823.804.0927.78%26.20%26.32%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.80%EV +13.65%E +1.84%K +2.13%G +0.291%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -7.15%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.87%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV +1.84%E +0.277%K +0.326%G +0.006%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.60%EV -0.583%E -0.143%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.57%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.37%EV +1.23%E +0.186%K +0.219%G +0.003%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -4.23%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:34
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:38
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:54
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:55
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV -4.14%E -0.662%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:04
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.13%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -6.44%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.78%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.32%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:36
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 19:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 19:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.39%EV -8.74%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -11.04%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 16:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 19:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -23.31%E -4.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55