مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Samsunspor

البداية: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

40 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.36%1.66السعر العادل
EV -3.43%
الأفضلية -2.14%
Kelly -5.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%60.36%60.24%62.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.51%64.52%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Samsunspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.34%6.52السعر العادل
EV +13.65%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +2.13%
النمو +0.291%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.41

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.80%15.29%15.47%18.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.126.007.4120.00%16.33%16.67%13.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.31%4.11السعر العادل
EV -0.583%
الأفضلية -0.143%
Kelly -0.189%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.26%24.35%24.28%25.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.823.804.0927.78%26.20%26.32%24.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.80%EV +13.65%E +1.84%K +2.13%G +0.291%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -7.15%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.87%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV +1.84%E +0.277%K +0.326%G +0.006%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.60%EV -0.583%E -0.143%K -0.189%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.57%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.37%EV +1.23%E +0.186%K +0.219%G +0.003%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -4.23%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:35
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:34
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 19:38
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:54
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:54
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 19:55
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV -4.14%E -0.662%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 19:04
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.13%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:54
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -6.44%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.78%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 19:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.32%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 19:36
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 18:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 19:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 19:40
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 19:40
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.39%EV -8.74%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 19:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:35
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -11.04%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 16:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 19:50
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-19 19:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 19:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -23.31%E -4.66%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 19:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55