La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rayo Vallecano v Samsunspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rayo Vallecano (Local)
Predicción 60.36%1.66momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.36%60.24%62.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.51%64.52%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Samsunspor (Visitante)
Predicción 15.34%6.52momio equitativo
EV +13.65%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.291%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.80%15.29%15.47%18.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.126.007.4120.00%16.33%16.67%13.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.31%4.11momio equitativo
EV -0.583%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.189%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.26%24.35%24.28%25.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.823.804.0927.78%26.20%26.32%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.80%EV +13.65%E +1.84%K +2.13%G +0.291% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.82%EV -7.15%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.87%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.54%EV +1.84%E +0.277%K +0.326%G +0.006% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.60%EV -0.583%E -0.143%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Suprabets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.57%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.37%EV +1.23%E +0.186%K +0.219%G +0.003% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.07%EV -4.23%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.20%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 19:38 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.12%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.306%E -0.047%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.76%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.24%EV -3.37%E -0.535%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.26%EV -4.14%E -0.662%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| ReBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.13%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.52%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.36%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.93%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -4.91%E -0.792%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -6.44%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.78%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:49 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.32%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.10%EV -5.69%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:36 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.28%E -3.09%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 18:00 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.83%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -6.42%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-19 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.41%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.39%EV -8.74%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.51%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -11.04%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.20%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 16:34 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.63%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 19:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.54%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.06%E -2.72%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-19 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -9.47%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.81%E -2.05%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.49%E -3.47%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-19 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.85%E -2.36%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -23.31%E -4.66%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.77%E -0.693%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 19:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 19:55 |