La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v AEK Athens

Inizio: 2026-04-09 16:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 52.61%1.90quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.40%52.56%52.53%54.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.781.801.8457.80%56.10%55.56%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEK Athens (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.74%5.07quota equa
EV +5.23%
Vantaggio +0.981%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.82%19.72%19.83%21.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.774.805.3322.73%20.95%20.83%18.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.64%3.62quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -0.685%
Kelly -0.956%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%27.72%27.64%28.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.403.5332.26%29.67%29.41%28.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.58%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.82%EV +5.23%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.063%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.61%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 16:35
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV -0.890%E -0.177%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -2.42%E -0.685%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 16:21
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.08%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -1.28%E -0.257%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 16:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -1.28%E -0.257%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 16:20
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.15%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 16:21
Suprabets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 16:26
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 16:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.44%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-09 16:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 16:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 16:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 16:35
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 16:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 16:35
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 16:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 16:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-09 16:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 16:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 16:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 16:30
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 16:20
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 16:21
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 16:35
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -7.40%E -4.20%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.18%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 16:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 16:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 16:35
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-09 16:35
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.31%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 16:31
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -13.13%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 16:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03%0.5%2026-04-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-04-09 16:40