L’École des cotesFrançais
Rayo Vallecano v AEK Athens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rayo Vallecano (Local)
Prévision 52.61%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.40%52.56%52.53%54.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.781.801.8457.80%56.10%55.56%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AEK Athens (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.74%5.07cote équitable
EV +5.23%
Avantage +0.981%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 5.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%19.72%19.83%21.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.774.805.3322.73%20.95%20.83%18.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.64%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -0.956%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%27.72%27.64%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.403.5332.26%29.67%29.41%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.58%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.82%EV +5.23%E +0.981%K +1.21%G +0.063% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.61%EV -4.91%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV -0.890%E -0.177%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -2.42%E -0.685%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 16:21 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.08%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -1.28%E -0.257%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -1.28%E -0.257%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.73%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.82%EV -4.08%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.15%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.52%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 16:21 |
| Suprabets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:26 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -3.26%E -0.665%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.44%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.99%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.25%E -0.928%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.07%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.23%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -6.22%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 16:21 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.21%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%EV -7.40%E -4.20%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.18%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.04%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -11.16%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.31%E -4.61%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 16:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -13.13%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.20% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.20% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.03% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-04-09 16:40 |