Idioma:Español
PFC CSKA Sofia v AS Monaco
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
PFC CSKA Sofia (Local)
Predicción 15.60%6.41momio equitativo
EV +0.649%
Ventaja +0.101%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.02%15.65%15.58%16.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.305.915.906.4518.87%16.92%16.95%15.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
AS Monaco (Visitante)
Predicción 63.98%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -8.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.45%63.96%64.01%64.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.461.451.5071.94%68.66%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.42%4.90momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.528%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.72%20.39%20.42%21.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.504.504.8024.39%22.21%22.22%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: PFC CSKA Sofia (Local): 15.60%; AS Monaco (Visitante): 63.98%; Empate: 20.42%. Para PFC CSKA Sofia (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.41. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.649%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.02%EV +0.649%E +0.101%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.58%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -3.03%E -0.637%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.14%EV -2.16%E -0.345%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.28%EV -4.46%E -0.952%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.47%E -0.396%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.28%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV -3.03%E -0.637%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -2.47%E -0.396%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.07%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV -2.47%E -0.396%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.47%EV -5.07%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.47%E -0.396%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -10.17%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.47%E -0.396%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -10.17%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.48%EV -3.41%E -0.551%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.87%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.65%EV -5.27%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.88%EV -4.67%E -3.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -4.05%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -2.01%E -0.418%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.03%E -2.69%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.09%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.09%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.35%EV -6.59%E -4.51%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -4.05%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -3.03%E -0.637%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -6.59%E -4.51%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -4.05%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -8.51%E -5.95%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -4.05%E -0.861%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.11%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.11%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -7.93%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -8.51%E -5.95%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.17%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.49%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.60%E -2.68%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -5.95%E -4.05%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.09%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.31%E -3.59%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.60%E -2.68%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.60%E -2.68%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.60%E -2.68%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -14.26%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.23%E -4.99%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -14.26%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -9.15%E -6.44%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.27%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.87%E -5.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -14.26%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.51%E -5.95%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -8.13%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.17%E -2.31%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-15 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.18%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.43%E -7.45%K -26.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.26%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.38%EV -17.30%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.45%EV -11.07%E -7.96%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -16.30%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.18% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |