A Escola das Odds

NK Celje v AEK Athens

Início: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

NK Celje (Local)

Previsão 21.41%4.67odd justa
EV +1.68%
Vantagem +0.355%
Kelly +0.449%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.20%21.40%21.36%22.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.054.364.404.7524.69%22.92%22.73%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEK Athens (Visitante)

Previsão 54.62%1.83odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.29%54.57%54.67%56.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.661.711.711.7860.24%58.35%58.48%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.98%4.17odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -0.714%
Kelly -0.948%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.57%24.03%23.97%25.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.873.904.0527.78%25.86%25.64%24.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:40
BetOnline.ag4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:40
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 19:35
Pinnacle4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV -3.24%E -0.717%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:45
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 19:35
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 19:35
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:35
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:35
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Suprabets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -4.57%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:40
Everygame4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 19:34
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 19:35
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:35
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:54
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 19:55
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 19:35
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.31%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 19:45
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 19:50
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:45
Fliff4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 19:49
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Bovada4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 19:54
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:39
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:40
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:40
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -7.69%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-12 19:35
1xBet4.18I 23.92%NM 22.69%EV -10.52%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Betclic (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -13.30%E -3.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.58%EV -6.97%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 19:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.3%2026-03-12 19:55