La escuela de los momiosEspañol
NK Celje v AEK Athens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
NK Celje (Local)
Predicción 21.41%4.67momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.355%
Kelly +0.449%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.20%21.40%21.36%22.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.054.364.404.7524.69%22.92%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEK Athens (Visitante)
Predicción 54.62%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.29%54.57%54.67%56.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.711.711.7860.24%58.35%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.98%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -0.948%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.03%23.97%25.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.873.904.0527.78%25.86%25.64%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV -3.24%E -0.717%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Suprabets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -4.57%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.31%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:39 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -7.69%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.69%EV -10.52%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -13.30%E -3.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.58%EV -6.97%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 19:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |