L’École des cotesFrançais
NK Celje v AEK Athens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
NK Celje (Local)
Prévision 21.41%4.67cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.355%
Kelly +0.449%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.20%21.40%21.36%22.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.054.364.404.7524.69%22.92%22.73%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AEK Athens (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.62%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%54.57%54.67%56.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.711.711.7860.24%58.35%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.98%4.17cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.03%23.97%25.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.873.904.0527.78%25.86%25.64%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV +1.68%E +0.355%K +0.449%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| FanDuel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.53%E -0.332%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV -3.24%E -0.717%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -2.89%E -0.714%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ReBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.75%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.67%E -0.815%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.15%EV -7.70%E -4.56%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -4.74%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Suprabets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.86%EV -4.57%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.81%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.31%E -1.69%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.09%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -9.02%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.09%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.49%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Bovada | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -6.61%E -3.86%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -8.89%E -2.34%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:39 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -11.28%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -7.69%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.09%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.79%E -5.26%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -13.68%E -3.80%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.69%EV -10.52%E -2.52%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29%EV -2.78%E -1.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.59%EV -13.30%E -3.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.58%EV -6.97%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 19:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |