Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 65.20%1.53fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -7.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.50%65.12%65.16%68.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.55%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)

Prediction 13.35%7.49fair odd
EV +13.46%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.242%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.10%13.46%13.23%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.107.067.008.5016.39%14.17%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.45%4.66fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.617%
Kelly +0.780%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.98%21.42%21.61%22.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.354.8025.00%22.91%22.99%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 65.20%; Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit): 13.35%; Draw: 21.45%. For Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.49. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +13.46%E +1.58%K +1.80%G +0.242%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.33%E -0.289%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +13.46%E +1.58%K +1.80%G +0.242%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.33%E -0.289%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV +2.79%E +0.362%K +0.416%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 16:19
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.42%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV -1.22%E -0.165%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV +2.96%E +0.617%K +0.780%G +0.023%4.3%2026-10-15 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.78%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 13.03%EV -1.75%E -0.238%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -7.33%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:40
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -2.55%E -0.350%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -2.55%E -0.350%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -3.22%E -0.444%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -3.22%E -0.444%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.42%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.89%E -0.540%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:30
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.02%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.26%EV -4.42%E -0.618%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.72%EV -6.26%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:29
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:33
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:28
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.33%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.90%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.90%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 16:30
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.25%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.20%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -16.57%E -2.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.31%EV -13.28%E -9.99%K -40.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -17.24%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -18.57%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-10-15 16:40