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Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes

2026-10-15 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 80.16%1.25fair odd
EV -6.21%
Edge -5.31%
Kelly -36.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.28%80.16%80.16%83.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1790.09%88.05%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)

Prediction 5.89%16.97fair odd
EV +29.67%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.419%

assuming max odds 22.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.37%5.89%5.89%7.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0016.3916.2522.008.33%6.10%6.15%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.94%7.17fair odd
EV +11.54%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.190%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.02%13.94%13.94%15.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.847.008.0017.86%14.61%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mjällby AIF (Local): 80.16%; Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit): 5.89%; Draw: 13.94%. For Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.97. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 22.00, producing a positive expected value of +29.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.61%EV -7.81%E -6.79%K -52.08%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV +29.67%E +1.35%K +1.41%G +0.419%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.02%EV +11.54%E +1.44%K +1.65%G +0.190%4.0%2026-09-01 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.52%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.57%EV +0.198%E +0.012%K +0.012%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -2.40%E -0.343%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -8.61%E -7.56%K -61.53%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +0.198%E +0.012%K +0.012%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV +4.57%E +0.610%K +0.703%G +0.032%6.9%2026-09-01 09:55
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -8.61%E -7.56%K -61.53%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.61%EV -4.22%E -0.260%K -0.277%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.46%EV -12.16%E -1.93%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.88%EV -9.42%E -8.33%K -72.43%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.78%EV -5.70%E -0.356%K -0.380%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +4.57%E +0.610%K +0.703%G +0.032%8.1%2026-09-01 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.45%EV -11.02%E -9.93%K -100.17%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.01%EV -14.54%E -1.00%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.55%EV -21.92%E -3.91%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-01 11:21
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.28%EV -11.02%E -9.93%K -100.17%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.24%EV -29.27%E -2.44%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -16.34%E -2.72%K -3.27%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-01 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 30.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.00%164.6%2026-09-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 30.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.00%1.08I 92.59%NM 35.00%164.6%2026-09-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 29.51%1.07I 93.46%NM 34.75%1.04I 96.15%NM 35.75%169.0%2026-09-01 10:20