Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes

Início: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 65.20%1.53odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -2.37%
Kelly -7.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.50%65.12%65.16%68.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.55%70.18%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visitante)

Previsão 13.35%7.49odd justa
EV +13.46%
Vantagem +1.58%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.242%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.10%13.46%13.23%14.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.107.067.008.5016.39%14.17%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.45%4.66odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.617%
Kelly +0.780%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.98%21.42%21.61%22.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.364.354.8025.00%22.91%22.99%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 65.20%; Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visitante): 13.35%; Empate: 21.45%. Para Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.49. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +13.46%E +1.58%K +1.80%G +0.242%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.33%E -0.289%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +13.46%E +1.58%K +1.80%G +0.242%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.33%E -0.289%K -0.369%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.61%EV -11.98%E -8.87%K -34.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +6.79%E +0.849%K +0.970%G +0.066%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -6.69%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.58%EV +2.79%E +0.362%K +0.416%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-15 16:19
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.29%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.42%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +0.115%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:30
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.06%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.96%EV -1.22%E -0.165%K -0.191%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV +2.96%E +0.617%K +0.780%G +0.023%4.3%2026-10-15 15:50
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.78%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 13.03%EV -1.75%E -0.238%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -7.33%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:40
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -2.55%E -0.350%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.64%EV -2.55%E -0.350%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -3.22%E -0.444%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -3.22%E -0.444%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.42%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.89%E -0.540%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:30
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.02%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.26%EV -4.42%E -0.618%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.72%EV -6.26%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:29
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:33
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-15 16:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:28
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.33%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -6.56%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -9.90%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.90%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -7.76%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-15 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -4.16%E -2.83%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:27
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.47%E -0.772%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 16:30
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.25%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 16:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.62%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.20%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.14%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -16.57%E -2.65%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -7.12%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.31%EV -13.28%E -9.99%K -40.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -17.24%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.68%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -18.57%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.91%E -2.36%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-10-15 16:40