赔率学院

Lech Poznań v Shakhtar Donetsk

开赛时间： 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Lech Poznań (主队)

预测 36.66%2.73公平赔率
EV +0.072%
优势 +0.026%
Kelly +0.042%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.73

博彩公司预测分布
34.81%36.60%36.68%37.38%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.572.552.7340.00%38.97%39.22%36.63%MIN均值中位数MAX

Shakhtar Donetsk (客队)

预测 35.26%2.84公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -0.842%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
34.66%35.34%35.24%37.72%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.632.622.7740.00%37.98%38.17%36.10%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.08%3.56公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.487%
Kelly -0.682%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.98%28.06%28.08%28.74%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.10%30.08%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.81%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -11.15%E -4.42%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -1.03%E -0.381%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.72%EV -5.15%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 16:40
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 17:20
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:25
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.38%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.95%EV -2.33%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -1.70%E -0.487%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-12 17:30
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.88%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 17:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.27%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.27%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 17:40
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.99%EV -7.26%E -2.87%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 17:25
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.63%E -3.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:39
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.63%E -3.03%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.73%EV -7.99%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.97%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:38
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:20
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:35
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 17:35
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 17:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40