Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Lech Poznań v Shakhtar Donetsk
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lech Poznań (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 36.66%2.73kurs godziwy
EV +0.072%
Przewaga +0.026%
Kelly +0.042%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.73
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.81%36.60%36.68%37.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.572.552.7340.00%38.97%39.22%36.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Shakhtar Donetsk (Goście)
Prognoza 35.26%2.84kurs godziwy
EV -2.33%
Przewaga -0.842%
Kelly -1.32%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.77
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.66%35.34%35.24%37.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.632.622.7740.00%37.98%38.17%36.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 28.08%3.56kurs godziwy
EV -1.70%
Przewaga -0.487%
Kelly -0.682%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.98%28.06%28.08%28.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.323.333.5032.26%30.10%30.08%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (34 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.81%EV +0.072%E +0.026%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -11.15%E -4.42%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV -2.83%E -0.817%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.59%EV -1.03%E -0.381%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.72%EV -5.15%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.69%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -3.59%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -3.04%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.64%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.69%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.38%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.95%EV -2.33%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -1.70%E -0.487%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.27%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.88%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.27%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.20%EV -7.27%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.99%EV -7.26%E -2.87%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.80%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -7.63%E -3.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.51%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.63%E -3.03%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Bovada | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.73%EV -7.99%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.97%E -3.06%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:38 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.56%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -3.11%E -0.901%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fliff | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.73%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.85%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.94%E -4.17%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (3)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |