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KuPS Kuopio v Trabzonspor

2026-10-15 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 19.22%5.20fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%19.22%19.22%20.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.754.805.0023.81%21.04%20.83%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visit)

Prediction 56.93%1.76fair odd
EV -0.944%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%56.93%56.93%57.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.691.7462.50%59.88%59.35%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%23.85%23.85%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.904.0028.57%26.12%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 19.22%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 56.93%; Draw: 23.85%. For Trabzonspor (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.74, with an expected value of -0.944%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -3.88%E -0.775%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -4.61%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 03:35
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.88%E -0.775%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 03:34
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 03:35
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -8.34%E -5.18%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.00%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 03:35
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.34%EV -9.26%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -0.944%E -0.542%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.49%EV -6.52%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 03:34
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -19.26%E -4.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -16.54%E -4.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-01 03:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-01 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-01 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%183.1%2026-09-01 03:35