The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KuPS Kuopio v Trabzonspor

2026-10-15 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 15.60%6.41fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +0.868%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 6.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.16%15.69%15.60%17.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.866.006.7920.00%17.08%16.67%14.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visit)

Prediction 63.02%1.59fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.34%62.75%63.04%64.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.38%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.39%4.68fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.56%21.37%23.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.254.6026.67%23.77%23.53%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 15.60%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 63.02%; Draw: 21.39%. For KuPS Kuopio (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.79, producing a positive expected value of +5.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.79I 14.73%NM 14.19%EV +5.89%E +0.868%K +1.02%G +0.060%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.22%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.60%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-11 09:10
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -7.40%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 10:34
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.25%E -6.43%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 10:08
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV +1.37%E +0.211%K +0.249%G +0.003%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -9.25%E -6.43%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 10:08
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -1.75%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -13.38%E -3.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 09:11
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -1.75%E -0.278%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.49%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -13.38%E -3.30%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-11 09:09
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.38%EV -2.53%E -0.405%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.25%EV -4.21%E -2.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -3.76%E -0.835%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 10:34
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.53%E -0.405%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.10%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 10:34
Pinnacle🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.41%EV -4.87%E -0.798%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.94%EV -7.36%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.66%EV -2.69%E -0.591%K -0.758%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -4.87%E -0.798%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -9.88%E -6.91%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 09:15
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.60%EV -6.10%E -4.10%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -1.62%E -0.352%K -0.450%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.40%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 07:44
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.76%E -0.835%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 09:13
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.76%E -0.835%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 09:08
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.11%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 07:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.11%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 07:44
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 10:35
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.11%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 10:34
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.25%E -6.43%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 10:35
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.43%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.62%E -5.95%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.45%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 10:34
ReBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -7.99%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.85%EV -8.62%E -5.95%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 09:15
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.33%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.90%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 09:20
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.33%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.62%E -5.95%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.18%E -2.42%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -10.33%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.09%EV -11.14%E -7.90%K -27.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.44%EV -11.25%E -2.71%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-11 09:15
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -11.11%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.51%EV -9.88%E -6.91%K -22.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.31%E -3.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-11 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -12.67%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -9.11%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV -12.67%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -2.32%E -1.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -9.11%E -2.14%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -14.23%E -2.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -6.73%E -4.55%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.76%E -0.835%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -18.12%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.45%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -18.12%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.45%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -18.12%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -5.47%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.45%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.59%EV -18.12%E -3.45%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.49%EV -9.25%E -6.43%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -18.73%E -4.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-11 10:49
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -22.02%E -4.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -19.80%E -5.28%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -22.02%E -4.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -19.80%E -5.28%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 08:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -22.02%E -4.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -19.80%E -5.28%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 08:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -22.02%E -4.40%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -3.58%E -2.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -19.80%E -5.28%K -7.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%8.8%2026-10-11 10:50