Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio v Trabzonspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 2–4 Trabzonspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 14.99%6.67cote équitable
EV +18.90%
Avantage +2.38%
Kelly +2.73%
Croissance +0.515%

avec la cote maximale 7.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.01%14.88%14.90%16.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.406.256.007.9318.52%16.01%16.67%12.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.88%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -5.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.14%64.93%64.87%69.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.36%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.13%4.97cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.208%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.97%20.20%20.23%21.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.544.605.0225.00%22.04%21.74%19.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KuPS Kuopio (Local) : 14.99% ; Trabzonspor (Visiteur) : 64.88% ; Match nul : 20.13%. Pour KuPS Kuopio (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.67. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.93, soit une espérance positive de +18.90%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯7.93I 12.61%NM 12.01%EV +18.90%E +2.38%K +2.73%G +0.515%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.55%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.97%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.0%2026-10-15 16:40
Coolbet🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.91%EV +11.70%E +1.57%K +1.81%G +0.212%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.26%EV -7.22%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -2.38%E -0.490%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 16:25
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +4.95%E +0.708%K +0.826%G +0.041%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:28
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +4.95%E +0.708%K +0.826%G +0.041%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:30
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV +1.21%E +0.179%K +0.210%G +0.003%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.96%EV -7.22%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:10
ReBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.10%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.07%EV -3.38%E -0.705%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 16:40
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.76%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.26%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -3.38%E -0.705%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 16:40
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -2.68%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:35
picklebet_au🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 16:40
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:10
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -2.54%E -0.391%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -14.45%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:35
Pinnacle🎯6.48I 15.43%NM 14.76%EV -2.84%E -0.439%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.52%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.72%EV -2.38%E -0.490%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV -2.38%E -0.490%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.55%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV -2.38%E -0.490%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.10%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.82%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.10%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -4.04%E -0.631%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -6.40%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 15:40
Betsson🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -5.54%E -0.879%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -13.45%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 16:40
NordicBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -5.54%E -0.879%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -13.45%E -3.13%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 16:40
LeoVegas🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -6.29%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:40
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 15:40
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 16:19
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -5.28%E -3.62%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 16:40
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:40
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:35
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -7.22%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.34%EV -7.22%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 16:40
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -10.04%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -11.77%E -8.65%K -32.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-15 16:10
Neds🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.04%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.04%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 15:40
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.79%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 15:40
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -13.79%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -7.87%E -5.54%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 16:39
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.79%E -2.40%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-15 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.20%EV -16.04%E -2.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.42%EV -7.22%E -5.05%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.38%EV -10.43%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.11%EV -19.03%E -3.52%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.14%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -19.49%E -4.87%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-10-15 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-10-15 16:35