L’École des cotes

HNK Rijeka v Strasbourg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HNK Rijeka (Local)

Prévision 19.42%5.15cote équitable
EV +0.026%
Avantage +0.005%
Kelly +0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.73%19.41%19.43%20.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.794.805.1523.09%20.89%20.83%19.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Strasbourg (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.68%1.83cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.86%54.60%54.67%55.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.721.7660.61%58.30%58.14%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.850%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.30%25.99%25.90%26.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.7730.30%27.93%27.78%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +0.026%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.39%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:40
BetOnline.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +0.026%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.39%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:40
1xBet5.08I 19.69%NM 18.73%EV -1.33%E -0.263%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -2.61%E -0.695%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.00%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:50
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:50
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 16:55
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 16:55
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:55
Pinnacle4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -5.02%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -3.77%E -2.14%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.36%E -0.625%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.80%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:39
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.80%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:20
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:20
Marathon Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:30
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:23
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:50
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -9.78%E -5.93%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:55
Bet Right4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:00
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 16:55
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 16:55
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -7.60%E -4.49%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 16:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Fliff4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.69%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.46%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-12 17:25
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 17:23
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:20
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:30
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:30
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:30
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-12 17:30
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.14%E -4.85%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.64%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-12 17:20
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-12 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%0.8%2026-03-12 17:40