Idioma:Español
HNK Rijeka v Strasbourg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HNK Rijeka (Local)
Predicción 19.42%5.15momio equitativo
EV +0.026%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.73%19.41%19.43%20.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.794.805.1523.09%20.89%20.83%19.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Strasbourg (Visitante)
Predicción 54.68%1.83momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.86%54.60%54.67%55.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7660.61%58.30%58.14%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.625%
Kelly -0.850%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.30%25.99%25.90%26.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.7730.30%27.93%27.78%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: HNK Rijeka (Local): 19.42%; Strasbourg (Visitante): 54.68%; Empate: 25.90%. Para HNK Rijeka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.149. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.150, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.026%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +0.026%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.39%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.78%EV +0.026%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.28%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -3.39%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.73%EV -1.33%E -0.263%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -2.61%E -0.695%K -0.947%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.05%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%EV -2.87%E -0.766%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.00%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -2.89%E -0.578%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.83%E -0.986%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -5.02%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.74%EV -3.77%E -2.14%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.56%EV -2.36%E -0.625%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.49%EV -5.80%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -4.86%E -2.79%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.80%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.77%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -9.78%E -5.93%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -6.50%E -3.80%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -7.74%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -7.60%E -4.49%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -8.71%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -9.69%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.46%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 17:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -10.66%E -2.32%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.14%E -4.85%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.64%E -3.09%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -12.60%E -2.80%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -15.90%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.86%EV -8.69%E -5.20%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |