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Hearts v FC Nordsjaelland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 35.08%2.85fair odd
EV +5.95%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +2.95%
Growth +0.175%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.78%34.80%35.32%37.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.673.0240.82%37.18%37.38%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Nordsjaelland (Visit)
Prediction 39.60%2.53fair odd
EV +0.578%
Edge +0.228%
Kelly +0.376%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.40%39.79%39.40%43.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.342.372.5446.73%42.73%42.19%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%25.41%25.28%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.49%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 35.08%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 39.60%; Draw: 25.32%. For Hearts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.78%EV +5.95%E +1.97%K +2.95%G +0.175% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.62%EV -12.88%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +5.25%E +1.75%K +2.63%G +0.138% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.84%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -2.52%E -0.656%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV +3.50%E +1.19%K +1.79%G +0.063% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -2.12%E -0.758%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.84%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -2.12%E -0.758%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.84%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.13%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.72%E -4.26%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 18:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.88%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 18:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.06%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.54%EV -11.24%E -4.44%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.40%EV +0.578%E +0.228%K +0.376%G +0.002% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.04%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -11.24%E -4.44%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -14.04%E -5.73%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |