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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Hearts v FC Nordsjaelland

开赛时间： 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

最终结果： Hearts 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hearts (主队)

预测 35.08%2.85公平赔率
EV +5.95%
优势 +1.97%
Kelly +2.95%
增长率 +0.175%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布
31.78%34.80%35.32%37.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.692.673.0240.82%37.18%37.38%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Nordsjaelland (客队)

预测 39.60%2.53公平赔率
EV +0.578%
优势 +0.228%
Kelly +0.376%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.54

博彩公司预测分布
37.40%39.79%39.40%43.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.342.372.5446.73%42.73%42.19%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.32%3.95公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.323%
Kelly -0.434%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.61%25.41%25.28%26.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.49%27.40%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hearts (主队)：35.08%；FC Nordsjaelland (客队)：39.60%；平局：25.32%。 对于“Hearts (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.85。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.02，对应+5.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.78%EV +5.95%E +1.97%K +2.95%G +0.175%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.62%EV -12.88%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +5.25%E +1.75%K +2.63%G +0.138%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.84%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -2.52%E -0.656%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV +3.50%E +1.19%K +1.79%G +0.063%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%EV -11.70%E -5.25%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -15.26%E -7.13%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-15 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -2.12%E -0.758%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.84%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.11%EV -2.12%E -0.758%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.84%EV -7.74%E -3.32%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.13%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:45
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -6.15%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.81%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.72%E -4.26%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.43%EV -3.38%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.794%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:53
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 18:55
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.88%E -5.86%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 18:53
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 18:45
ReBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.36%EV -7.38%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.06%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.76%E -2.42%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.95%E -2.96%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-15 18:49
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.54%EV -11.24%E -4.44%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.40%EV +0.578%E +0.228%K +0.376%G +0.002%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.04%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -11.24%E -4.44%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -8.13%E -3.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -14.04%E -5.73%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -10.91%E -4.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-15 18:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55