A Escola das Odds

FSV Mainz 05 v Strasbourg

Início: 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Previsão 41.13%2.43odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.90%41.15%41.12%42.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.292.302.3846.51%43.76%43.48%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Strasbourg (Visitante)

Previsão 29.18%3.43odd justa
EV -0.796%
Vantagem -0.234%
Kelly -0.332%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.05%29.14%29.15%31.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.043.203.203.4032.89%31.21%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.69%3.37odd justa
EV -0.542%
Vantagem -0.162%
Kelly -0.231%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.71%29.73%30.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.3533.33%31.45%31.25%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.10%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -11.30%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.32%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -2.03%E -0.614%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:30
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:35
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -0.542%E -0.162%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:15
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 18:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 41.24%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -3.13%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.29%EV -4.30%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -3.21%E -0.986%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 18:40
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 41.02%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -4.30%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -1.43%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 17:59
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.542%E -0.162%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 18:55
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -6.63%E -2.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 18:54
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:45
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.03%E -0.614%K -0.881%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:45
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:54
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-09 18:30
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 18:45
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.56%E -5.38%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-09 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-04-09 18:55