L’École des cotesFrançais
FSV Mainz 05 v Strasbourg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FSV Mainz 05 (Local)
Prévision 41.13%2.43cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.90%41.15%41.12%42.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.302.3846.51%43.76%43.48%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Strasbourg (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.18%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.796%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.332%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.05%29.14%29.15%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.043.203.203.4032.89%31.21%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.542%
Avantage -0.162%
Kelly -0.231%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%29.71%29.73%30.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3533.33%31.45%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.10%E -0.883%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -11.30%E -3.72%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.32%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -2.03%E -0.614%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -0.542%E -0.162%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.24%EV -3.75%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.07%EV -3.13%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| ReBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -4.16%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.29%EV -4.30%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.47%EV -3.21%E -0.986%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.84%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.796%E -0.234%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.02%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -4.30%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -1.43%E -0.432%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.00%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.39%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -0.542%E -0.162%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -6.63%E -2.92%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.17%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.03%E -0.614%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.63%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 18:54 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.51%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.56%E -5.38%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.63% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82% | 0.1% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |