赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Crystal Palace v Fiorentina

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Crystal Palace (主队)

预测 60.04%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -2.46%
Kelly -6.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
58.51%59.96%60.08%61.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.571.571.6066.67%63.75%63.69%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fiorentina (客队)

预测 15.77%6.34公平赔率
EV +1.74%
优势 +0.270%
Kelly +0.320%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 6.45

博彩公司预测分布
14.99%15.82%15.74%16.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.915.956.4518.18%16.91%16.81%15.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.19%4.13公平赔率
EV -0.825%
优势 -0.201%
Kelly -0.266%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.36%24.21%24.18%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.873.904.1027.78%25.82%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Crystal Palace (主队)：60.04%；Fiorentina (客队)：15.77%；平局：24.19%。 对于“Fiorentina (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.34。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.45，对应+1.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.270%K +0.320%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.270%K +0.320%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.38%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV +0.956%E +0.149%K +0.177%G +0.002%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.52%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.16%EV +0.482%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-09 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.50%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.15%EV +0.167%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Suprabets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.31%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV -0.622%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.66%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 17:53
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.47%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -1.41%E -0.226%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.28%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -1.41%E -0.226%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 17:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.66%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -3.78%E -0.619%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%EV -0.825%E -0.201%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-09 18:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.34%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.11%EV -6.14%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.11%EV -6.14%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 18:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.71%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 17:55
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 17:55
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 18:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.34%EV -7.36%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-09 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-09 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-09 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -7.54%E -4.90%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-09 18:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-04-09 18:55