La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Crystal Palace v Fiorentina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 60.04%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.94%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -6.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.51%59.96%60.08%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6066.67%63.75%63.69%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fiorentina (Visitante)
Predicción 15.77%6.34momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.320%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.99%15.82%15.74%16.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.505.915.956.4518.18%16.91%16.81%15.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.19%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.825%
Ventaja -0.201%
Kelly -0.266%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.21%24.18%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.873.904.1027.78%25.82%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.270%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.83%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.99%EV +1.74%E +0.270%K +0.320%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.38%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV +0.956%E +0.149%K +0.177%G +0.002% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.52%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.34%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.16%EV +0.482%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.50%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.50%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.15%EV +0.167%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Suprabets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.31%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.03%EV -0.622%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.66%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 17:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.47%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -1.41%E -0.226%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.28%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -1.41%E -0.226%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.66%EV -4.54%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -3.78%E -0.619%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%EV -0.825%E -0.201%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.63%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.34%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.21%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -5.35%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.11%EV -6.14%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.92%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.11%EV -6.14%E -1.03%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.97%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.67%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.24%E -0.811%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.38%EV -8.14%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -8.51%E -1.47%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.71%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.45%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-09 18:54 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -9.30%E -1.62%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.34%EV -7.36%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-09 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -6.87%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.36%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -11.66%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-09 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-09 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -7.54%E -4.90%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-09 17:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.94%E -6.63%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.24%E -2.41%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.79% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:55 |