StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Prague

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AZ Alkmaar (Hemma)

Prognos 53.07%1.88rättvist odds
EV -1.82%
Fördel -0.985%
Kelly -2.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.22%52.94%53.02%54.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.44%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sparta Prague (Borta)

Prognos 21.61%4.63rättvist odds
EV +1.58%
Fördel +0.337%
Kelly +0.428%
Tillväxt +0.007%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.51%21.63%21.71%23.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.304.254.7025.00%23.25%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.32%3.95rättvist odds
EV -2.27%
Fördel -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.65%25.43%25.27%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.663.653.8629.41%27.34%27.40%25.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: AZ Alkmaar (Hemma): 53.07%; Sparta Prague (Borta): 21.61%; Oavgjort: 25.32%. För Sparta Prague (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.63. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.58%.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 17:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.51%EV +0.070%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.92%EV -3.54%E -0.929%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:40
Suprabets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:18
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -5.01%E -2.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -0.795%E -0.173%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -2.78%E -0.724%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.74%E -0.609%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -2.53%E -0.656%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:14
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 17:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -5.98%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:23
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:35
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -0.985%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 17:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 16:45
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:33
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.30%E -2.48%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 16:40
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-12 17:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-03-12 17:30