La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Prague
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Predicción 53.07%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.985%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.22%52.94%53.02%54.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.44%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sparta Prague (Visitante)
Predicción 21.61%4.63momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.337%
Kelly +0.428%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.63%21.71%23.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.254.7025.00%23.25%23.53%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%25.43%25.27%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.653.8629.41%27.34%27.40%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.51%EV +0.070%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.92%EV -3.54%E -0.929%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Suprabets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:18 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -5.01%E -2.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -0.795%E -0.173%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -2.78%E -0.724%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.74%E -0.609%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -2.53%E -0.656%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -5.98%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:23 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -0.985%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-12 17:33 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.30%E -2.48%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |