Langue:Français
AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Prague
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Prévision 53.07%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.22%52.94%53.02%54.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.44%56.50%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sparta Prague (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.61%4.63cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.337%
Kelly +0.428%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.63%21.71%23.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.254.7025.00%23.25%23.53%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.795%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.86
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.43%25.27%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.663.653.8629.41%27.34%27.40%25.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AZ Alkmaar (Local) : 53.07% ; Sparta Prague (Visiteur) : 21.61% ; Match nul : 25.32%. Pour Sparta Prague (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.63. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.58%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.35%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.58%EV +1.58%E +0.337%K +0.428%G +0.007% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.06%EV -2.27%E -0.589%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.51%EV +0.070%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.92%EV -3.54%E -0.929%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.62%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.579%E -0.126%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.88%EV -5.01%E -2.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -0.795%E -0.173%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.11%EV -2.78%E -0.724%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.74%E -0.609%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -2.53%E -0.656%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -7.34%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.90%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -5.98%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.41%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.99%EV -1.82%E -0.985%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -7.06%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.30%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.14%E -1.92%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -2.88%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -3.41%E -1.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -3.95%E -2.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -4.48%E -2.49%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.54%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-12 17:33 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.72%E -5.07%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.22%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.37%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.96%EV -10.30%E -2.48%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.32%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.59%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.39%E -2.78%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.55%E -3.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |