Langue:Français
Atalanta BC v Pafos FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atalanta BC (Local)
Prévision 70.29%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -3.24%
Kelly -12.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.06%70.22%70.38%72.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.51%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pafos FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.95%8.37cote équitable
EV +7.59%
Avantage +0.843%
Kelly +0.949%
Croissance +0.072%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.72%11.99%11.80%13.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.797.959.0015.38%12.84%12.58%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.75%5.63cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.364%
Kelly +0.440%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.55%17.79%17.82%19.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.225.255.7521.28%19.17%19.05%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atalanta BC (Local) : 70.29% ; Pafos FC (Visiteur) : 11.95% ; Match nul : 17.75%. Pour Pafos FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.37. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.59%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.949%G +0.072% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV +2.09%E +0.364%K +0.440%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.59%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV +4.60%E +0.526%K +0.594%G +0.027% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-15 18:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.28%EV +1.49%E +0.176%K +0.199%G +0.003% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.80%EV -4.48%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.22%EV +1.01%E +0.120%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.06%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -0.779%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.06%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -0.779%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.67%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.17%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.85%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-15 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.29%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.79%EV -7.35%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 18:44 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -7.67%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.99%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -4.12%E -0.764%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-15 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -12.11%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.06%EV -10.03%E -7.83%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.40%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -16.55%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-15 18:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 18:55 |