StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atalanta BC v Pafos FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Atalanta BC 3–1 Pafos FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atalanta BC (Heim)

Prognose 70.29%1.42faire Quote
EV -4.40%
Vorteil -3.24%
Kelly -12.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.36

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
68.06%70.22%70.38%72.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.51%75.19%73.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Pafos FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.95%8.37faire Quote
EV +7.59%
Vorteil +0.843%
Kelly +0.949%
Wachstum +0.072%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.72%11.99%11.80%13.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.507.797.959.0015.38%12.84%12.58%11.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.75%5.63faire Quote
EV +2.09%
Vorteil +0.364%
Kelly +0.440%
Wachstum +0.009%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.55%17.79%17.82%19.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.705.225.255.7521.28%19.17%19.05%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atalanta BC (Heim): 70.29%; Pafos FC (Auswärts): 11.95%; Unentschieden: 17.75%. Für Pafos FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.37. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.59%.

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.72%EV +7.59%E +0.843%K +0.949%G +0.072%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV +2.09%E +0.364%K +0.440%G +0.009%3.7%2026-10-15 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.59%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.96%EV +4.60%E +0.526%K +0.594%G +0.027%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.44%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:30
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.13%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.04%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +1.61%E +0.190%K +0.215%G +0.003%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:53
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.93%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.28%EV +1.49%E +0.176%K +0.199%G +0.003%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.80%EV -4.48%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.22%EV +1.01%E +0.120%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.06%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -0.779%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.06%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -0.779%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.71%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.14%E -9.71%K -48.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.37%E -0.546%K -0.624%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-15 18:50
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.67%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.17%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.573%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.85%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.76%EV -5.56%E -0.704%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.29%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.79%EV -7.35%E -0.949%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.45%E -1.85%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 18:45
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:44
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -2.35%E -0.427%K -0.522%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:20
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.40%E -3.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -14.78%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:20
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.34%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -7.67%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.99%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -13.33%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -4.12%E -0.764%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 18:49
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-15 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.92%E -6.04%K -25.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -6.79%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-15 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.32%E -7.23%K -32.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -16.32%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -11.23%E -2.25%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -17.52%E -2.54%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -12.11%E -2.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.06%EV -10.03%E -7.83%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.40%EV -22.30%E -3.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -16.55%E -3.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-15 18:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55