預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ajax v FC Thun

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

76%

16%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ajax (主隊)

預測 75.66%1.32公平賠率

EV -3.15%

優勢 -2.46%

Kelly -11.26%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.28

博彩公司預測分布

72.74%76.05%75.19%80.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.131.221.231.2888.50%81.91%81.30%78.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

FC Thun (客隊)

預測 8.53%11.72公平賠率

EV +45.05%

優勢 +2.65%

Kelly +2.82%

成長率 +1.27%

假設最高賠率為 17.00

博彩公司預測分布

5.61%8.25%8.73%10.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

9.0011.1510.5017.0011.11%8.97%9.52%5.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 15.81%6.33公平賠率

EV +7.64%

優勢 +1.12%

Kelly +1.31%

成長率 +0.100%

假設最高賠率為 6.81

博彩公司預測分布

13.42%15.70%16.08%17.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

5.005.755.676.8120.00%17.38%17.62%14.68%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Ajax (主隊)：75.66%；FC Thun (客隊)：8.53%；和局：15.81%。對於「FC Thun (客隊)」，該估計相當於11.72的公平十進位賠率。有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為17.00，因此產生+45.05%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	和局	利潤率	更新時間
NordicBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.15%EV -9.96%E -8.37%K -52.44%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +45.05%E +2.65%K +2.82%G +1.27%	6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV +5.90%E +0.881%K +1.04%G +0.061%	4.8%	2026-11-13 23:54
Betsson🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.84%EV -10.72%E -9.08%K -59.55%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV +36.52%E +2.28%K +2.43%G +0.889%	6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV +4.32%E +0.655%K +0.772%G +0.033%	6.1%	2026-11-13 23:55
1xBet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.87%EV -14.50%E -12.83%K -111.56%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.71%EV +36.52%E +2.28%K +2.43%G +0.889%	6.81I 14.68%NM 13.42%EV +7.64%E +1.12%K +1.31%G +0.100%	9.4%	2026-11-13 23:55
Bovada🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.69%E -6.31%K -34.97%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-13 23:58
Betway🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -9.21%E -7.67%K -46.03%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.74%E +0.422%K +0.498%G +0.014%	7.1%	2026-11-13 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 75.57%EV -6.94%E -5.64%K -30.16%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.26%EV -4.01%E -0.357%K -0.391%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -9.11%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-13 23:55
Coral🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.15%E -0.559%K -0.615%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -6.15%E -0.559%K -0.615%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.18%E -4.98%K -25.75%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.15%E -0.559%K -0.615%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-13 23:55
Neds🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.79%EV -6.18%E -4.98%K -25.75%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.15%E -0.559%K -0.615%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -5.16%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-13 23:55
Casumo🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.58%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.15%E -0.559%K -0.615%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-13 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 74.58%EV -6.94%E -5.64%K -30.16%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -10.41%E -0.992%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-13 23:54
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -7.69%E -6.31%K -34.97%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -10.41%E -0.992%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.07%E -2.38%K -2.90%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-13 23:54
ReBet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.27%EV -7.69%E -6.31%K -34.97%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -10.41%E -0.992%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.10%EV -16.23%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-11-13 23:54
Unibet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.26%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-13 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -3.15%E -2.46%K -11.26%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -11.49%E -2.05%K -2.50%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-13 23:55
BetMGM🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -6.18%E -4.98%K -25.75%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.11%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-13 23:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -9.21%E -7.67%K -46.03%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -9.11%E -1.59%K -1.92%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-11-13 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 74.59%EV -10.72%E -9.08%K -59.55%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -16.23%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-11-13 23:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 74.52%EV -13.75%E -12.06%K -98.18%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 8.49%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 16.99%EV -20.97%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	17.7%	2026-11-13 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 73.69%EV -10.72%E -9.08%K -59.55%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 8.92%EV -16.81%E -1.72%K -1.92%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.39%EV -20.97%E -4.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-11-13 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.23%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-13 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.23%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-13 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -5.42%E -4.34%K -21.69%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.23%E -3.06%K -3.77%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-13 23:55

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

套利（24 種組合） +1.33%Unibet 1.28 (79.2%) / NordicBet 17.00 (6.0%) / 1xBet 6.81 (14.9%)顯示全部 24 種組合

Ajax (主隊)	FC Thun (客隊)	和局	利潤率
Unibet🎯 1.28 (79.2%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (6.0%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.9%)	+1.33%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (79.2%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (6.0%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.9%)	+1.33%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (79.0%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.1%)	+1.08%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (79.0%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.1%)	+1.08%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.9%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.8%)	+0.950%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.9%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.8%)	+0.950%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.9%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.8%)	+0.950%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.9%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	1xBet🎯 6.81 (14.8%)	+0.950%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.8%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.3%)	+0.848%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.8%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.3%)	+0.848%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.7%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.0%)	+0.705%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.7%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.0%)	+0.705%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.7%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.0%)	+0.705%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.7%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	NordicBet🎯 6.70 (15.0%)	+0.705%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.6%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.5%)	+0.612%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.6%)	NordicBet🎯 17.00 (5.9%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.5%)	+0.612%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.5%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.2%)	+0.476%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.5%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.2%)	+0.476%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.5%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.2%)	+0.476%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.5%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betsson🎯 6.60 (15.2%)	+0.476%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.3%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.4%)	+0.241%
Unibet🎯 1.28 (78.3%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.4%)	+0.241%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.3%)	Betsson🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.4%)	+0.241%
Unibet (NL)🎯 1.28 (78.3%)	1xBet🎯 16.00 (6.3%)	Betway🎯 6.50 (15.4%)	+0.241%

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