A Escola das Odds

AEK Athens v Rayo Vallecano

Início: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Final: AEK Athens 3–1 Rayo Vallecano

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Previsão 45.97%2.18odd justa
EV -0.239%
Vantagem -0.110%
Kelly -0.204%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.74%45.93%46.03%47.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.042.052.1751.55%49.12%48.78%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Previsão 27.71%3.61odd justa
EV -0.241%
Vantagem -0.067%
Kelly -0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.85%27.71%27.75%30.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.323.6032.26%29.74%30.12%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.32%3.80odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.350%
Kelly -0.477%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.36%26.22%27.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.603.7530.30%28.10%27.78%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.74%EV -0.239%E -0.110%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.46%E -0.698%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -2.89%E -0.784%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.63%E -0.458%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -1.63%E -0.458%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:35
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:01
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 17:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.241%E -0.067%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.241%E -0.067%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:00
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.68%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:56
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.46%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.79%EV -8.00%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.31%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.99%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 17:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:55
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 18:44
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45