L’École des cotes

AEK Athens v Rayo Vallecano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Score final : AEK Athens 3–1 Rayo Vallecano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Prévision 45.97%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.239%
Avantage -0.110%
Kelly -0.204%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.93%46.03%47.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.042.052.1751.55%49.12%48.78%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rayo Vallecano (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.71%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.241%
Avantage -0.067%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%27.71%27.75%30.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.323.6032.26%29.74%30.12%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.477%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.36%26.22%27.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.603.7530.30%28.10%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.74%EV -0.239%E -0.110%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:20
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.29%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.46%E -0.698%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -2.89%E -0.784%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
ReBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -3.92%E -1.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -1.63%E -0.458%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -1.63%E -0.458%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:35
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.55%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:50
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:01
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.63%E -0.710%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 17:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -13.16%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.241%E -0.067%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -0.241%E -0.067%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.31%E -0.350%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:00
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.68%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.07%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:56
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.46%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.79%EV -8.00%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:39
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -3.01%E -0.861%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -3.94%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.31%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.99%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:34
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 17:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:55
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 18:44
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-16 18:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.89%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-16 18:45