Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Sociedad v Chelsea

2026-09-02 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Women

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Sociedad (Local)

Prediction 16.15%6.19fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%16.10%16.14%17.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.605.506.0019.23%17.85%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chelsea (Visit)

Prediction 63.91%1.56fair odd
EV -7.33%
Edge -5.05%
Kelly -16.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.77%63.96%63.86%65.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.411.411.4575.19%71.10%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.94%5.01fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.94%19.94%20.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.494.504.7523.81%22.26%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Sociedad (Local): 16.15%; Chelsea (Visit): 63.91%; Draw: 19.94%. For Real Sociedad (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.00, with an expected value of -3.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 20:55
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 20:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 03:50
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-02 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.16%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -9.58%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.50%EV -15.00%E -11.28%K -45.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.94%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-02 04:05
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 04:05
Betsson🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 20:55
NordicBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 20:55
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -13.08%E -9.62%K -36.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.65%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-01 20:55
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.81%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 03:33
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -15.24%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 03:28
Pinnacle🎯5.22I 19.16%NM 17.10%EV -15.72%E -3.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -11.25%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -16.04%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -11.16%E -8.03%K -28.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-01 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.