默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad v Chelsea

2026-09-02 17:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Women

胜负盘

14 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

16%

64%

20%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Real Sociedad (主队)

预测 16.15%6.19公平赔率

EV -3.13%

优势 -0.521%

Kelly -0.625%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布

14.89%16.11%16.14%17.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

5.205.605.506.0019.23%17.85%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chelsea (客队)

预测 63.91%1.56公平赔率

EV -7.33%

优势 -5.05%

Kelly -16.29%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布

62.75%63.96%63.86%65.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.331.411.411.4575.19%71.07%70.92%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.94%5.01公平赔率

EV -5.27%

优势 -1.11%

Kelly -1.41%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布

18.94%19.93%20.00%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.204.504.504.7523.81%22.25%22.22%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Real Sociedad (主队)：16.15%；Chelsea (客队)：63.91%；平局：19.94%。对于“Real Sociedad (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.19。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为6.00，期望值为-3.13%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Bet Victor🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-01 20:55
betano_uk🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-01 20:55
888sport🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-09-02 03:50
William Hill🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -3.13%E -0.521%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.52%E -7.52%K -26.31%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.07%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-09-02 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.16%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.33%E -5.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-01 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -9.58%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 65.50%EV -15.00%E -11.28%K -45.45%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 18.94%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-09-02 04:05
Betway🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -5.27%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-09-02 04:05
Betsson🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-09-01 20:55
NordicBet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-09-01 20:55
BoyleSports🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -13.08%E -9.62%K -36.34%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.65%E -3.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-09-01 20:55
Bovada🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.81%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.26%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-02 03:33
Betclic (FR)🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -15.24%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 62.75%EV -8.61%E -6.02%K -20.02%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 20.16%EV -11.25%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-02 05:03
Pinnacle🎯	5.22I 19.16%NM 17.10%EV -15.72%E -3.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 62.85%EV -9.25%E -6.51%K -22.01%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -11.25%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-01 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -16.04%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -11.16%E -8.03%K -28.62%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.25%E -2.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-09-01 20:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。