语言:简体中文
Real Sociedad v Chelsea
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Real Sociedad (主队)
预测 15.82%6.32公平赔率
EV +2.82%
优势 +0.433%
Kelly +0.512%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.02%15.78%16.02%17.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.855.775.706.5020.62%17.32%17.54%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
Chelsea (客队)
预测 64.60%1.55公平赔率
EV -6.97%
优势 -4.84%
Kelly -15.85%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.44
博彩公司预测分布
61.32%64.48%64.42%67.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.391.391.4474.63%71.98%71.94%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.58%5.11公平赔率
EV -6.01%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.58%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
18.98%19.74%19.56%20.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.564.604.8023.81%21.95%21.74%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Real Sociedad (主队)：15.82%；Chelsea (客队)：64.60%；平局：19.58%。 对于“Real Sociedad (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.32。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+2.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +2.82%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.99%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.82%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -6.01%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +2.82%E +0.433%K +0.512%G +0.014% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -6.01%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -0.348%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -10.85%E -7.86%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.93%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -0.348%E -0.055%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -10.85%E -7.86%K -28.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.93%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-02 14:11 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV -8.26%E -1.42%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.46%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.99%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -9.05%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.14%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.01%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -9.84%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.95%EV -13.43%E -10.03%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.78%EV -13.85%E -3.15%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -11.42%E -2.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.36%EV -10.20%E -7.34%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.66%EV -10.91%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.00%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -6.99%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.00%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -17.76%E -4.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -13.00%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.56%E -6.83%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -17.76%E -4.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -16.17%E -3.05%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.25%EV -11.50%E -8.39%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -9.93%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%EV -20.91%E -4.18%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.05%EV -12.14%E -8.93%K -33.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.80%EV -15.22%E -3.51%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.95%EV -23.28%E -4.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.32%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -17.76%E -4.23%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-02 16:33 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。