A Escola das OddsReal Madrid v Barcelona
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Real Madrid (Local)
Previsão 10.60%9.44odd justa
EV +11.28%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.134%
pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.69%10.61%10.62%13.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.938.498.5010.5014.43%11.78%11.76%9.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Barcelona (Visitante)
Previsão 76.13%1.31odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -3.24%
Kelly -15.69%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.25%76.13%76.21%77.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.211.201.2690.09%82.86%83.33%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 13.27%7.53odd justa
EV +6.45%
Vantagem +0.805%
Kelly +0.919%
Crescimento +0.059%
pressupondo odds máximas de 8.02
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.67%13.26%13.17%15.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.766.508.0216.67%14.80%15.38%12.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV +11.28%E +1.07%K +1.19%G +0.134% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -10.17%E -8.62%K -56.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-25 17:38 |
| BoyleSports | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +0.685%E +0.072%K +0.081%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.06%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.64%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.884%G +0.055% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.52%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -4.84%E -3.87%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.27%EV -5.60%E -4.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.64%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Betsson | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.65%EV -11.07%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| NordicBet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.16%EV -4.61%E -0.513%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.19%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.65%EV -11.07%E -1.65%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| BetMGM | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.66%EV -7.26%E -0.830%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.47%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -3.77%E -0.520%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Pinnacle | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.33%EV -7.89%E -6.52%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.67%EV +6.45%E +0.805%K +0.919%G +0.059% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.95%EV +2.87%E +0.370%K +0.425%G +0.012% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 17:21 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -20.36%E -3.39%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.64%EV -10.93%E -9.34%K -64.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.17%EV -9.41%E -7.91%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.17%EV -9.41%E -7.91%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -9.91%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -12.45%E -10.83%K -83.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.04%EV -7.12%E -5.84%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -0.448%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 17:29 |
| Bovada | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.68%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Coral | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.93%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.93%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.60%EV -15.21%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 76.36%EV -15.50%E -13.96%K -140.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.04%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-25 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.32%EV -16.27%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.49%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.19%EV -16.38%E -2.60%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.37%EV -8.65%E -7.21%K -43.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.73%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -20.51%E -2.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.74%EV -11.69%E -10.08%K -73.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.53%EV -26.55%E -3.83%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.43%EV -4.08%E -3.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.04%EV +3.40%E +0.437%K +0.501%G +0.017% | 6.6% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.55% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 17:40 |